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Market news: Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva entered the semi-intensive care unit for recovery after surgery.Market news: Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva entered the semi-intensive care unit for recovery after surgery. 


Minister of Labor of Canada: I asked the Canadian Industrial Relations Committee whether it was determined that the Canadian labor dispute case was deadlocked.Russian Defense Ministry: In the past week, the Russian army launched 15 cluster strikes against Ukrainian military enterprises and facilities. The Russian Defense Ministry said that in the past week, the Russian army launched 15 cluster strikes against Ukrainian military enterprises, Ukrainian military security energy facilities and Ukrainian military infrastructure including foreign mercenaries assembly sites.Broadcom rose more than 18% at the beginning, Broadcom rose more than 18% at the beginning, and the total market value rose to $1 trillion. The company's Q4 profit exceeded expectations, and its AI revenue doubled and rose by 220% in the whole fiscal year.


Wen Bin, chief economist of Minsheng Bank: The "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continues to narrow, reflecting the positive trend of the economy. "The total financial volume has grown steadily, and the liquidity is reasonable and abundant, which has maintained strong support for the real economy." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the year-on-year growth rate of narrow money (M1) balance rebounded in November compared with last month, and the "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continued to narrow, reflecting the positive economic trend. Wen Bin introduced that the medium and long-term loans of households in China are mainly personal housing mortgage loans. With the real estate financial policy taking effect, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal loans has been significantly reduced, and personal loans will continue to stabilize and rebound. The recent improvement of commercial housing transaction data and financial data confirms each other, and the confidence of the real estate market and residents is further enhanced.In November, personal housing loans stabilized and rebounded. On December 13, the central bank released financial statistics for November 2024. The financial data was generally stable and maintained strong support for the real economy. It is noteworthy that the growth rate of household loans has been rising recently, mainly because personal loans have stabilized and rebounded. From the perspective of residents' departments, the short-term and medium-and long-term loans in the first 11 months increased by 1.29 trillion yuan and 453.8 billion yuan respectively, of which the medium-and long-term loans of residents increased by 66.9 billion yuan in November, increasing for two consecutive months. With the intensive introduction and effective implementation of a package of incremental policies, social expectations and market confidence are gradually picking up. Market experts generally predict that the effective financing demand in the market will be further improved, financial resources will flow more to major strategies, key areas and weak links, and financial support for the high-quality development of the real economy will be more powerful and effective. (21 Finance)Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)

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